This is an analysis of all the matches of 0ad I played to obtain a trueskill rating of the players and provide a way for me to balance team games.
Each player is assigned a Gaussian distribution where ยต represents the average skill.
If Alice's ratings is higher than Bob's then Alice has a 76% change of beating Bob.
LOL
This data has been parsed from all my matches, you can download it here
All the matches can be found here